POLITICAL PULSE: INEC Voters-Register Claims Fuel APC Negativity as NDC Extends Positive-Sentiment Lead
PRrev records APC as the visibility leader with 43.3% of political-party coverage, but negative sentiment on X rises to 69% amid unverified voters-register allegations and the Morka-Oseni clash; NDC strengthens its positive rating to 56.8%
ABUJA: Unverified social-media allegations over the INEC voters register, alongside the political fallout from the Felix Morka-Rufai Oseni exchange, dominated Nigeria’s monitored political conversation on 27 October, leaving APC with the largest share of political attention but also the worst overall sentiment among the four parties tracked by PRrev.
The Daily Political Pulse, based on PRrev, a PRNigeria media-monitoring and sentiment data tool that tracks political activities, coverage and sentiment across monitored media platforms, shows APC increasing its pooled share of coverage to 43.3%, while its overall negative sentiment rose to 59.8%. NDC consolidated second place in visibility at 32.3% and retained the strongest overall positive sentiment at 56.8%.
PRrev monitored 3,887 in-scope items across X, Facebook and mainstream media. Beyond the voters-register narrative and Morka-Oseni exchange, political attention centred on NDC’s council inauguration, Nyesom Wike’s Rivers unveiling and ADC activities involving Atiku.
Unverified INEC Claims Put APC Under Pressure
The most sensitive issue of the day involved allegations concerning the INEC voters register.
PRrev identified 32 posts alleging duplicated and “AI-generated” voters and linking INEC with APC, but importantly classified all the claims as unverified.
The issue contributed to a difficult sentiment environment for the ruling party on X, where 69% of APC’s 1,325 monitored posts were negative, compared with 14% positive and 17% fair.
The result continues a negative trend. APC’s negative X sentiment increased from 66% on 26 October to 69% on 27 October, although its positive share also edged upwards from 11% to 14%.
The report, however, does not establish the voters-register allegations as factual. They represent claims detected in monitored online conversation.
Morka-Oseni Clash Adds to APC Conversation
The exchange involving APC spokesman Felix Morka and Rufai Oseni on Arise was another major driver of political discussion.
According to PRrev, Felix Morka hit back at Rufai Oseni and said President Tinubu never promised to end poverty within a set period.
The episode became part of a wider APC discussion that, despite its heavily negative tone on X, continued to give the ruling party the greatest political visibility.
APC generated 1,325 X items, 321 Facebook items and 37 mainstream-media items, producing a pooled coverage share of 43.3%.
Its sentiment differed markedly by platform. Facebook coverage was 46% positive and 26% negative, while mainstream coverage was 51% positive and 22% negative, contrasting sharply with the 69% negativity recorded on X.
PRrev Political Party Rating | 27 October
1st in Visibility: APC
43.3% share of pooled coverage | 59.8% overall negative
APC remains the most visible party, increasing its share from 41.8% on 26 October. But it simultaneously retains the heaviest negative tone, with its X negativity reaching 69%.
1st in Positive Sentiment: NDC
32.3% share of pooled coverage | 56.8% overall positive
NDC strengthened both visibility and favourable sentiment. Its overall positive share increased from 50.0% on 26 October to 56.8%, the highest among the four parties monitored.
ADC: 15.4% Share of Coverage
ADC remained third in visibility. On X, its sentiment stood at 36% positive, 34% negative and 30% fair, while its Facebook conversation was overwhelmingly favourable at 86% positive.
PDP: 9.0% Share of Coverage
PDP recorded the smallest pooled share at 9.0%, down from 10.7% a day earlier. On X, 52% of its coverage was fair, 33% negative and 15% positive.
Obi Council Speech Lifts NDC Sentiment
NDC’s National Campaign Council inauguration emerged as the central driver of the party’s favourable performance.
PRrev highlighted Peter Obi’s inauguration speech, Ikokwu as spokesperson and the Lokoja town hall, alongside internal friction surrounding Ochefu’s rejection, missing Obidients and the Nasarawa exit.
Despite those points of friction, the party’s positive X sentiment increased from 49% on 26 October to 55% on 27 October. Its negative X sentiment stood at 17%, with 28% fair.
Read Also:
Facebook provided an even stronger result, with 74% positive sentiment against 10% negative. Mainstream media presented the reverse pattern, however, with only 12% positive, 41% negative and 47% fair.
The figures nevertheless gave NDC the highest overall positive sentiment of the day at 56.8%, up from 50.0% on 26 October.
ADC Sentiment Improves on X
ADC recorded one of the day’s most significant positive shifts on X.
Its positive rating on the platform doubled from 18% on 26 October to 36%, while 34% was negative and 30% fair.
PRrev identified the ADC-PCC challenge to Tinubu over allegations that ministers paid for appointments, as well as Atiku’s return, seven days in Kano and the Sokoto flag-off listed for 31 October, among the party’s major conversation drivers.
ADC’s pooled visibility eased slightly from 15.9% to 15.4%.
Wike Remains Central to PDP Conversation
For PDP, Nyesom Wike continued to be a major talking point.
PRrev highlighted the Rivers “Rainbow Coalition” with Kingsley Chinda for governor and Nyesom Wike telling PDP members to back Tinubu. The report also records that PDP said it would launch its own council.
PDP’s visibility nevertheless declined to 9.0% from 10.7% a day earlier, while negative X sentiment rose sharply from 15% to 33%.
On Facebook, its coverage was 39% positive, 17% negative and 44% fair. Its nine mainstream items were 56% negative and 44% fair.
Political Conversation Rises as APC, NDC Gain Ground
Overall political activity captured by PRrev increased from 3,756 items on 26 October to 3,887 on 27 October.
X increased from 3,023 to 3,119 items, while Facebook rose from 668 to 703. Mainstream coverage remained at 65.
The visibility contest also shifted:
APC: 41.8% → 43.3%.
NDC: 31.6% → 32.3%.
ADC: 15.9% → 15.4%.
PDP: 10.7% → 9.0%.
The numbers show APC and NDC increasing their respective shares, while ADC eased marginally and PDP lost further ground.
North-Central, South-South Emerge as Risk Hotspots
Unlike 26 October, when North-West was listed as the busiest zone, the North-Central emerged prominently on 27 October, with 428 items involving Nyesom Wike and the FCT, Kwara clashes and the Lokoja town hall. PRrev classified the zone as medium-high risk.
The South-South also received a medium-high classification, associated with the Rivers Rainbow Coalition and the Delta “rig and die” issue, accounting for 269 items.
North-West, South-West, South-East and North-East were each classified as medium risk.
PRrev Political Pulse
The political picture on 27 October reinforces a trend that has become increasingly prominent in PRrev’s daily monitoring: visibility and favourability are moving along different tracks.
APC extended its visibility lead to 43.3%, but also saw its overall negative sentiment increase from 58.2% to 59.8%. On X, where the voters-register allegations and Morka-Oseni clash featured in the story mix, negativity reached 69%.
NDC, by contrast, increased its pooled visibility to 32.3% while simultaneously lifting its overall positive sentiment from 50.0% to 56.8%, retaining the day’s positive-sentiment crown.
ADC’s most notable movement was its improvement in positive X sentiment, while PDP suffered declining visibility accompanied by a rise in negative X coverage.
Political Pulse Verdict
APC wins the battle for attention but remains the party under the heaviest negative sentiment pressure. NDC strengthens its position as the positive-sentiment leader while also gaining visibility. ADC records the strongest improvement in positive X sentiment, while PDP slips further in share of conversation as its negative X rating rises.
The sharper political lesson from 27 October is that volume cannot be read as approval. APC commanded 43.3% of the monitored political-party conversation, yet PRrev classified 59.8% of its overall sentiment as negative. NDC occupied a smaller 32.3% share but recorded the highest positive sentiment at 56.8%.
Political Pulse is based on PRrev, a PRNigeria media-monitoring and sentiment data tool that tracks political activities, media coverage and sentiment across monitored platforms. This edition draws from PRrev Political Parties Report Summary (27 October, 2026).pdf. Allegations and other contested claims identified in the monitoring, particularly the voters-register claims explicitly described by PRrev as unverified, are reported as monitored narratives and not as established facts.
By PRNigeria
