Hauhawar Farashin Kayayyaki Zai Faɗi Zuwa Kashi 15.6% a 2026 – Rahoto
A bisa sabon kididdigar tattalin arziki da Asusun Ba da Lamuni na Duniya ya fitar, an yi hasashen cewa matsakaicin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a Najeriya zai ragu sosai zuwa kashi 15.6 cikin 100 a shekarar 2026, kafin ya ragu zuwa kashi 14.7 cikin 100 a shekarar 2027.
Wannan koma bayan da ake sa ran samu ya nuna raguwar da aka gani daga karuwar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da kashi 23.0 cikin 100 da aka samu a shekarar 2025.
Masu sharhi kan tattalin arziki a Coronation Research sun nuna cewa manyan matakan daidaita tattalin arziki suna ba da gudummawa sosai ga wannan yanayin sanyi. Musamman, karuwar daidaiton farashin musayar kuɗi tare da ƙaruwar ƙarfin tacewa a cikin gida suna taka muhimmiyar rawa wajen daidaita matsin lambar farashin cikin gida a cikin sarkar samar da kayayyaki.
Duk da wannan koma-baya mai ƙarfafa gwiwa, ci gaba da haɗari na iya rage saurin rage radadi ga ‘yan kasuwa da masu amfani.
A cikin kimantawarta kan yanayin tattalin arziki mai yawa, Coronation Research ta lura cewa, “Tsawon darajar musayar kuɗi da ƙaruwar ƙarfin tacewa a cikin gida na iya taimakawa wajen daidaita matsin lamba kan farashi. Duk da haka, ƙarin farashin makamashi da takin zamani, tare da kashe kuɗi da suka shafi zaɓe, na iya rage saurin rage hauhawar farashin kayayyaki”.
Yawan kashe kuɗi da rashin isasshen abinci a yankin na ci gaba da haifar da haɗari kai tsaye ga jin daɗin iyali, wanda ke barazanar takaita yadda rage hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ke haifar da ingantaccen ci gaba a cikin yanayin rayuwar yau da kullun.
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Idan aka yi la’akari da gaba, IMF ta yi hasashen cewa jimillar kayayyakin da Najeriya ke samarwa a cikin gida za su karu da kashi 4.2 cikin 100 a shekarar 2026 da kuma kashi 4.3 cikin 100 a shekarar 2027, wanda hakan ke faruwa sakamakon ci gaba da gyare-gyaren musayar kudaden waje da kuma kyakkyawan aiki a fannin da ba na mai ba.
Masu sharhi daga Coronation Asset Management sun goyi bayan waɗannan hasashen sosai, suna nuna cewa kiyasin cikin gida na matsakaicin hauhawar farashin shekara-shekara na 2027 ya yi daidai da hasashen masu ba da lamuni na ƙasashen waje da yawa na kashi 14.56. “Duk da cewa akwai matsaloli a tsarin, ci gaba da gyare-gyaren manufofin tattalin arziki da ayyukan fadada tacewa suna ba da tushe mai ƙarfi don daidaita farashi mai ɗorewa,” in ji wani mai sharhi.
A cikin ‘yan shekarun nan, Najeriya ta fuskanci hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, wanda rashin daidaiton tattalin arziki, canjin canjin kudaden waje, da kuma katsewar hanyoyin samar da kayayyaki na waje suka haifar. Bayan wani lokaci na tsoma baki mai tsauri kan manufofi, ciki har da gyare-gyaren kasuwar musayar kuɗi ta ƙasashen waje da gyare-gyaren tattalin arziki na tsarin da nufin ƙarfafa samar da kayayyaki ba tare da mai ba, an mayar da hankali kan dawo da daidaiton farashi da daidaita kuɗin cikin gida.
Sabuntawar hasashen tattalin arzikin duniya na watan Oktoba na 2026 da Asusun Ba da Lamuni na Duniya ya yi da kuma nazarin abokan hulɗa daga Coronation Research sun ba da sabon hasashen kan hanyar tattalin arzikin ƙasar.
Bayan da aka yi hasashen cewa matsakaicin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki na shekara-shekara ya haura zuwa kimanin kashi 23.0 cikin 100 a shekarar 2025, tsauraran manufofin kuɗi, tare da tsarin daidaita musayar kuɗi a hankali, sun fara rage matsin lamba a manyan rukunonin masu amfani.
Rahoton ya kara da cewa, “Ƙarin ƙarfin tacewa na gida ya ƙara nufin rage dogaro da shigo da makamashi daga waje da kuma rage farashin mai. Duk da haka, haɗarin samar da kayayyaki, hauhawar farashin shigar da kayan noma, da matsin lamba na kuɗi na ci gaba da haifar da haɗari ga yanayin rage hauhawar farashin kayayyaki,” in ji rahoton.
